概率统计理论在管理决策中的应用

期刊: 统计与应用研究 DOI: PDF下载

苏娟

江汉大学

摘要

决策是管理学中很重要的内容。本文以决策前的市场预测、决策中方 案的选择、决策后方案评估和反馈这三个方面为背景,阐述了统计学技术在管理决策中的应用,同时指出其缺点,并说明 了统计技术是管理学自身得以完善的有益工具。 Decision making is a very important content in management. In this paper, based on the three aspects of market prediction before decision-making, scheme selection in decision-making, scheme evaluation after decision-making and feedback, the application of statistical technology in management decision-making is described, its shortcomings are pointed out, and it is shown that statistical technology is a useful tool for management to improve itself.


关键词

管理决策;概率统计;最大期望;线性回归分析;反馈

正文

  • 决策是管理学中很重要的内容。本文以决策前的市场预测、决策中方 案的选择、决策后方案评估和反馈这三个方面为背景,阐述了统计学技术在管理决策中的应用,同时指出其缺点,并说明 了统计技术是管理学自身得以完善的有益工具。

  • Decision making is a very important content in management. In this paper, based on the three aspects of market prediction before decision-making, scheme selection in decision-making, scheme evaluation after decision-making and feedback, the application of statistical technology in management decision-making is described, its shortcomings are pointed out, and it is shown that statistical technology is a useful tool for management to improve itself.


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